UK's First Migrant Crime Report

The UK's first evert migrant crime report, produced by the Centre for Migration Control, shows the scale of the crisis gripping Britain.

The scale of the migrant crime crisis has been laid bare in the country’s first ever foreign nationals crime report, produced by the Centre for Migration Control. Former Tory leadership contender Robert Jenrick claimed that the British public “deserves to know the truth” about this data, whilst Reform leader Nigel Farage has previously attempted to retrieve this information. Now it is out there.

Freedom of Information requests sent to all 43 territorial police forces in the UK have allowed the CMC to compile information on the total number of arrests of foreign nationals, the nationalities with the highest arrest rates, and the foreign arrest rate for sexual offences for the first ten months of 2024.

Headline statistics:

· 131,000 foreign national arrests took place in England and Wales during the first 10 months of 2024, 16.1% of the total number of arrests. This is despite foreign nationals representing just 9% of the population.

· Foreign nationals are arrested at almost twice the rate of Brits (24 arrests per 1000 compared with 12 arrests per 1000)

· Foreign nationals accounted for over a quarter of sexual offence arrests in this timeframe.

· Foreign nationals are arrested at 3.5 times the rate of Brits for sexual offences.

· There have been 2,775 foreign national arrests for rape across 29 police forces in the first ten months of 2024

· 48 nationalities have a higher arrest rate than the British population.

· The five nationalities with the highest arrest rate are Albania, Afghanistan, Iraq, Algeria, and Somalia.

131,000 foreign national arrests

Every single police force in England and Wales was able to comply with the CMC’s request for:

a) the total number of arrests made by your organisation since 1 January 2024
b) the number of arrests of foreign nationals by your organisation since 1 January 2024

The data provided by each force has been compiled in the table below:

ONS population estimates, as used recently by the House of Commons, claim that there are 5.5 million foreign nationals living in the UK.

Foreign national arrest rate: 131,518 / 5,500,000 = 0.023. Multiplied by one thousand = an arrest rate of 23.9 per 1000.

In September this year, the Home Office published data which claimed that the average arrest rate of the UK is 12 per 1000.

Foreign nationals accounted for a quarter of all sexual offence arrests

The CMC requested from every police force in England and Wales “a breakdown of the alleged crimes committed by arrested foreign nationals since 1 January 2024”.

Out of 43 police forces in England and Wales, just two were unable to provide information on the offence type of foreign nationals: Thames Valley and Hampshire.

The remaining 41 forces provided data on offences at varying degrees of granularity. The information they provided can be seen in the attached spreadsheet, with a summary of their responses in the table below:

In summary, there is an average of roughly 34,745 sexual offence arrests over an eleven-month period in England and Wales. This is data collected from the Home Office’s “Stop and search and arrests” datasets which has been produced for the last three years, and shows the breakdown of all arrests by their notifiable category (violent crime, sexual offence, theft etc).

In the first ten months of this year, there have been 9055 foreign national arrests – which accounts for 26.1% of the average number of sexual offence arrests in an eleven-month period.

We can also see, using the arrest data above, that the sexual offence arrest rate for migrants is 3.5 times higher than for Brits.

9,055 foreign national arrests, out of a population of 5.5m = 164.6 per 100,000 of the population.

25,680 British arrests, out of a population of 53.5m = 48 per 100,000 of the population.

29 police forces provided data on offences at a more granular level, and thus allows us to see that there were at least 2,775 foreign nationals arrested for rape in the first ten months of the year. This accounts for 40.2% of all sexual offence arrests across these forces. Were we to extrapolate this rate to the remaining police forces, we can deduce that there were 3,622 arrests of foreign nationals for rape in the first ten months of this year.

The police forces that provided a granular response, and thus confirmed how many arrests for rape there had been, are as follows:

The migrant crime league table

The CMC asked all 43 police forces in England and Wales to provide a breakdown, by nationality, of all those who have been arrested in the first ten months of 2024. Five were unable to do so: Cleveland, Hampshire, Thames Valley, Warwickshire and Sussex.

The CMC requested from each police force: “a breakdown of arrested non-UK nationals by their nationality.”

Of the remaining 38, the CMC has been able to compile a league table of those nationalities which commit the most crimes, and more importantly, those nationalities with the highest number of arrests per one thousand of the population.

In raw numbers, the top ten nationalities arrested in 2024 were:

However, this is only part of the equation. Countries such as Poland, India, and Romania have large populations within the UK and therefore the higher number of arrests is not, in itself, revealing. More telling is the number of arrests that take place per one thousand of the population for each nationality.

The CMC contacted the ONS for 2023 figures on the population size of each national group in the UK, but it was confirmed that this data was inexplicably discontinued after the 2021 release. As such, the most recent data we have on the population size on each nationality group comes from an ONS dataset released in November 2021: Population of the UK by country of birth and nationality: individual country data (Discontinued after June 2021) - Office for National Statistics

The CMC has assumed that the population size of each nationality is at the very top of the ONS’ estimate range:

The top 15 nationalities with the highest arrest rate are:

According to the Home Office, as of March 2024, the overall arrest rate of England and Wales was approximately 12 arrests per one thousand of the population. There were 48 nationalities with an arrest rate higher than this. In the 2021 census, these 48 nationalities accounted for 3.1m of the resident population in England and Wales.

Important background information

Earlier this year the CMC uncovered, and The Sun reported, that since 2021 nearly 400,000 work visas have been awarded without the Home Office requiring these individuals to produce a Criminal Record Certificate: Nearly 400,000 migrants have moved to UK since 2021 - without criminal record checks | The Sun

Between 2015 and 2020 the Home Office had an automated streamlining system in place for processing visa applications. It would use the applicant’s nationality as a criteria to determine whether they would be awarded a red, amber, or green traffic light.

However, the Home Office was forced to drop this measure in August 2020 following legal proceedings brought by the Joint Council for the Welfare of Immigrants, who claimed that the use of a “secret list of suspect nationalities” was in breach of the 2010 Equality Act: Home Office drops 'racist' algorithm from visa decisions - BBC News

It is also important to note that the definition of “foreign national” does not include those migrants who have subsequently been awarded British citizenship (roughly a further 8% of the population), nor does it include second-generation migrants.

Responding to the release of the UK’s first migrant crime report, Robert Bates, Research Director at the Centre for Migration Control said:

“Mass migration has made us all less safe, and in particular has led to a spike in violence against women and girls. We have intuitively known this for a long time, but the Home Office has refused to publish the data to verify this fact. We now need a serious national conversation about how to address the huge crisis that is on our doorstep. We cannot hide from these statistics.

Any foreign national who is found to have broken the law should be removed without question. The Home Office has been too concerned with appeasing open-border lobbyists that it has forgotten its first duty is to keep the British public safe. Mass migration is a radical policy platform that is tearing at the very fabric of our society. It is not too late to reverse this catastrophic state of affairs.

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